Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.189244 0.215531 0.243756 0.276272 0.312648 0.352040 0.397877
2025-12-14 0.152145 0.186837 0.226603 0.275390 0.333453 0.400159 0.482401
2025-12-21 0.126581 0.165970 0.213741 0.275581 0.353116 0.446679 0.567649
2025-12-28 0.109030 0.151566 0.205796 0.279382 0.375907 0.497402 0.660967
2026-01-04 0.096505 0.141431 0.201336 0.286097 0.401793 0.552877 0.763522
2026-01-11 0.085057 0.130945 0.194731 0.288524 0.421272 0.600486 0.858321
2026-01-18 0.076458 0.123184 0.190665 0.293430 0.443723 0.652772 0.962073
2026-01-25 0.070143 0.117868 0.189259 0.301518 0.470652 0.712324 1.078987
2026-02-01 0.062562 0.109589 0.182410 0.300554 0.483761 0.752418 1.169948
2026-02-08 0.055963 0.102023 0.175745 0.298957 0.495293 0.790293 1.259181
2026-02-15 0.050301 0.095298 0.169634 0.297438 0.506406 0.827660 1.349142
2026-02-22 0.046803 0.091850 0.168451 0.303571 0.529693 0.884535 1.471474
2026-03-01 0.042386 0.086413 0.163644 0.303670 0.543866 0.929087 1.579041
2026-03-08 0.038455 0.081394 0.159047 0.303655 0.557719 0.973817 1.689354
2026-03-15 0.035080 0.077014 0.155123 0.304382 0.572709 1.021052 1.806115
2026-03-22 0.032568 0.074018 0.153407 0.308825 0.594275 1.080177 1.945373
2026-03-29 0.030682 0.072054 0.153409 0.316333 0.621621 1.150357 2.106553
2026-04-05 0.028420 0.069021 0.151026 0.319077 0.640397 1.206657 2.246757
2026-04-12 0.026660 0.066849 0.150114 0.324498 0.664313 1.272992 2.407343
2026-04-19 0.025392 0.065617 0.150966 0.333380 0.695172 1.353053 2.595633
2026-04-26 0.023308 0.062249 0.147053 0.332339 0.706905 1.399161 2.725604
2026-05-03 0.021366 0.058966 0.142988 0.330599 0.717035 1.442658 2.852676
2026-05-10 0.019616 0.055923 0.139136 0.328940 0.727099 1.486356 2.981910